Harrison Burton – DK: $8,600 – Starting 13th
Burton has run 11 races so far this year and outside of a 40th place finish at Homestead-Miami back in late February, Burton has not fallen below 29 fantasy points. In Nascar DFS we are looking for a floor as much as we are looking for a ceiling and while of course, we need to land on those big-name dominator drivers to get us the massive laps led, fastest laps, and victory points we also need drivers around the dominator who we can rely on. Rostering the winning driver in a race doesn’t do much for you if you build garbage around it. Kyle Busch won this race last year, though he is not in the field this year. Besides that, there isn’t a ton of data on current drivers here at Charlotte to go off of. In fact, outside of Tyler Reddick there is not another driver who has ever won an Xfinity event at Charlotte. In this race last year, Burton finished ninth. In total on the year, Burton has eight top-ten finishes in 11 races, including back-to-back sixth-place finishes. Burton finished with the ninth-best practice lap time, being only 0.40 seconds behind the fastest lap of Riley Herbst. As an opinion here, it does seem like Burton’s chances are dwindling a bit. That is not to say he isn’t a good driver, but he does have a great car and he just hasn’t been able to push it over the edge to crack those top three positions. So what we get a bit is a floor here, but an untapped ceiling. If you came here looking for my top driver call overall, it is almost going to be Austin Cindric weekly. But for the sake of not writing up the same thing every week and factoring salary into the equation, I like Harrison Burton a lot at this price which is a $700 discount from last week.
As a post-qualifying update, Justin Allgaier starting 26th and Noah Gragson starting 23rd figure to be highly owned today. I think these have value, but not in love with either car right now. Tyler Reddick has won here before and with him starting 16th likely becomes the highest owned driver in the field.
Tommy Joe Martins – DK: $5,200 – Starting 27th
This play was ready and primed to be a Dillon Bassett play, but after having a good practice session he failed to qualify. Therefore I am pivoting my value play this week to Tommy Joe Martins. While Martins’ box scores might not look great, we can see a common theme of most of his struggles coming on road courses. When it comes to intermediately sized tracks, Martins has actually been pretty strong, finishing 18th, 17th, and 15th at Atlanta, Vegas, and Miami. On the season Martins has seven top 20 finishes and while this statistic isn’t earth-shattering, we need to keep perspective in the bubble of starting position and price. Martins is going to be our lowest-priced anchor in which we are just trying to crack the 30 fantasy point line. With an average finish of 21st and 18th in points standings, I think Martins can do enough for us today to make targeting his low price worth it.
$ TierDHigh Ty Gibbs (10.8k / 51.45) Austin Cindric (10.5k / 43.74) Tyler Reddick (10.3k / 51.89) Justin Allgaier (10.1k / 66.74)Medium Josh Berry (8.8k / 45.19) Harrison Burton (8.6k / 41.19) Ty Dillon (8.2k / 32.91) Justin Haley (7.9k / 34.62) Brandon Brown (7k / 39.21)Low Alex Labbe (6.4k / 37.07) Tommy Joe Martins (5.2k / 21.80)